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Live Forex Training In Toronto March 27th, 2010
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Forexearlywarning will conduct a live all day forex seminar in Toronto, Ontario on Saturday March 27th, 2010.
http://theforexheatmap.blogspot.com/2009/12/toronto.html
Click on this link for more information or registration.
Regards
Mark Mc Donnell
http://www.forexearlywarning.com/
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AKFOREX CALENDAR 03 DECEMBER 2007 - 07 DECEMBER 2007
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CALENDAR 03 DECEMBER 2007 – 07 DECEMBER 2007
Monday, December 03, 2007
-GMT 01:00 JPN BOJ Governor *****ui to Meet With Business Leaders in Nagoya
-GMT 08:55 GER Manufacturing PMI (Nov) EST 52.9 PREVIOUS 51.7
Definition
The Index is widely used by industrialized economies to assess business confidence. Germany, Japan and the UK use PMI surveys for both manufacturing and services industries. The numbers are arrived at through a series of questions regarding Business activity, New Business, Employment, Input Prices, Prices Charged and Business Expectations. In addition to the headline figures, the prices paid components is highly scrutinized by the markets for evaluating pricing power and inflationary risks.
-GMT 09:00 EU Manufacturing PMI (Nov) EST 52.6 PREVIOUS 52.6
Definition
The Index is widely used by industrialized economies to assess business confidence. Germany, Japan and the UK use PMI surveys for both manufacturing and services industries. The numbers are arrived at through a series of questions regarding Business activity, New Business, Employment, Input Prices, Prices Charged and Business Expectations. In addition to the headline figures, the prices paid components is highly scrutinized by the markets for evaluating pricing power and inflationary risks.
-GMT 09:30 UK Manufacturing PMI (Nov) EST 52.6 PREVIOUS 52.9
Definition
The Index is widely used by industrialized economies to assess business confidence. Germany, Japan and the UK use PMI surveys for both manufacturing and services industries. The numbers are arrived at through a series of questions regarding Business activity, New Business, Employment, Input Prices, Prices Charged and Business Expectations. In addition to the headline figures, the prices paid components is highly scrutinized by the markets for evaluating pricing power and inflationary risks.
-GMT 09:30 EU ECB's Trichet Speaks in Brussels
-GMT 10:00 EU Unemployment (Oct) EST 7.3% PREVIOUS 7.3%
Definition
The percentage of the people classified as unemployed as compared to the total labor force.
-GMT 13:00 EU ECB's Gonzalez-Paramo Speaks in Milan
-GMT 13:00 USA Fed's Rosengren Speaks on Subprime Mortgages in Boston
-GMT 15:00 USA ISM Index (Nov) EST 66.0 PREVIOUS 63.0
Definition
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Index is a composite diffusion index of national manufacturing conditions. Readings above 50 percent indicate an expanding factory sector. The index is calculated from five of the eight sub-components of a monthly survey of purchasing managers at roughly 400 manufacturing firms representing 20 industries and all 50 states. The survey queries purchasing managers about the general direction of production, orders, inventories, employment, vendor deliveries and prices.
-GMT 15:00 USA ISM-Manufacturing EST 50.5 PREVIOUS 50.9
Definition
Also known as Non-Manufacturing ISM. This index is based on a survey of about 370 purchasing executives in industries of finance, insurance, real estate, communications, and utilities. It reports business activity in the service sector.
-GMT 19:00 EU ECB's Bini Smaghi Speaks in Brussels
-GMT 20:30 USA Yellen Speaks in Seattle on US Outlook and Monetary Policy
Tuesday, December 04, 2007
-GMT 10:00 EU PPI (m/m), (Oct) EST 0.4% PREVIOUS 0.4%
-GMT 10:00 EU PPI (y/y), (Oct) EST 3.0% PREVIOUS 3.7%
Definition
The PPI gauges the average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output at all stages of processing. The PPI data is compiled from most sectors of the economy, such as manufacturing, mining and agriculture.
-GMT 14:00 CAN Bank of Canada Rate Decision EST 4.5% PREVIOUS 4.5%
-GMT 22:30 AUS RBA Rate Decision EST 6.75% PREVIOUS 6.75%
Wednesday, December 05, 2007
-GMT 08:30 EU ECB's Trichet Speaks in Berlin
-GMT 08:55 GER Services PMI (Nov) EST 53.5 PREVIOUS 55.1
Definition
The Index is widely used by industrialized economies to assess business confidence. Germany, Japan and the UK use PMI surveys for both manufacturing and services industries. The numbers are arrived at through a series of questions regarding Business activity, New Business, Employment, Input Prices, Prices Charged and Business Expectations. In addition to the headline figures, the prices paid components is highly scrutinized by the markets for evaluating pricing power and inflationary risks.
-GMT 09:00 EU Services PMI (Nov) EST 53.7 PREVIOUS 53.7
Definition
The Index is widely used by industrialized economies to assess business confidence. Germany, Japan and the UK use PMI surveys for both manufacturing and services industries. The numbers are arrived at through a series of questions regarding Business activity, New Business, Employment, Input Prices, Prices Charged and Business Expectations. In addition to the headline figures, the prices paid components is highly scrutinized by the markets for evaluating pricing power and inflationary risks.
-GMT 09:30 UK Services PMI (Nov) EST 52.9 PREVIOUS 53.1
Definition
The Index is widely used by industrialized economies to assess business confidence. Germany, Japan and the UK use PMI surveys for both manufacturing and services industries. The numbers are arrived at through a series of questions regarding Business activity, New Business, Employment, Input Prices, Prices Charged and Business Expectations. In addition to the headline figures, the prices paid components is highly scrutinized by the markets for evaluating pricing power and inflationary risks.
-GMT 10:00 EU Retail sales (m/m), (Oct) EST -0.3% PREVIOUS 0.3%
-GMT 10:00 EU Retail sales (y/y), (Oct) EST 1.2% PREVIOUS 1.6%
Definition
The retail sales report is a measure of the total receipts of retail stores from samples representing all sizes and kinds of business in retail trade throughout the nation. It is the most timely indicator of broad consumer spending patterns and is adjusted for normal seasonal variation, holidays, and trading-day differences. Retail sales include durable and nondurable merchandise sold, and services and excise taxes incidental to the sale of merchandise. Excluded are sales taxes collected directly from the customer. It also excludes spending for services, a large component of consumer expenditures. Retail sales is a the first picture of consumer spending for a given month. Retail sales are often viewed ex-autos, as auto sales can move sharply from month-to-month. Also, gas and food component changes are often a result of price changes rather than shifting consumer demand. Retail sales can be quite volatile and the advance reports are subject to large revisions.
-GMT 13:30 USA Productivity (Q3) EST 5.6% PREVIOUS 4.9%
Definition
The economic measure of efficiency summarizing the value of outputs relative to the value of inputs.
-GMT 13:30 USA Unit Labor Cost (Q3) EST -0.1% PREVIOUS -0.2%
-GMT 15:00 USA Factory Orders (m/m), (Oct) EST 0.0% PREVIOUS 0.2%
Definition
Factory orders refer to the total of durable and nondurable good orders.
-GMT 15:00 USA ISM Non-Manufacturing (Nov) EST 55.0 PREVIOUS 55.8
Definition
Also known as Non-Manufacturing ISM. This index is based on a survey of about 370 purchasing executives in industries of finance, insurance, real estate, communications, and utilities. It reports business activity in the service sector.
-GMT 20:00 NZD RBNZ Rate Decision EST 8.25% PREVIOUS 8.25%
Thursday, December 06, 2007
-GMT 05:00 JPN Leading Economic Index (P Oct) EST 20.0 PREVIOUS 0.0%
-GMT 05:00 JPN Coincident indicator (P Oct) EST 66.7 PREVIOUS 60.0
Definition
An economic indicator that generally moves in line with the general business cycle such as industrial production.
-GMT 06:00 JPN Machine Tool Orders (y/y), (Nov P) EST % PREVIOUS 16.6%
Definition
Machine Orders Data (also known as Machine Tool Order Data) is a figure issued by Japan Machine Tool Builders Association (JMTBA) every month. It serves as one indicator of the Japanese economy. In the forex market, the release of such data is often followed by sharp change in currency exchange rate.
-GMT 09:30 UK Indus. Production (m/m), (Oct) EST 0.2% PREVIOUS -0.4%
-GMT 09:30 UK Indus. Production (y/y), (Oct) EST 0.7% PREVIOUS -0.2%
Definition
Industrial production consists of the total output of a nation’s plants, utilities, and mines. From a fundamental point of view, it is an important economic indicator that reflects the strength of the economy, and by extrapolation, the strength of a specific currency.
-GMT 09:30 UK Manuf. Production (m/m), (Oct) EST 0.2% PREVIOUS -0.6%
-GMT 09:30 UK Manuf. Production (y/y), (Oct) EST 0.4% PREVIOUS -0.1%
Definition
Manufacturing production is the indicator of production level in the manufacturing sector.
-GMT 11:00 GER Factory orders (m/m), (Oct) EST 0.9% PREVIOUS -2.5%
-GMT 11:00 GER Factory orders (y/y), (Oct) EST 6.2% PREVIOUS 1.1%
Definition
Factory orders refer to the total of durable and nondurable good orders.
-GMT 12:00 UK BoE Rate Decision EST 5.75% PREVIOUS 5.75%
-GMT 12:45 EU ECB Rate Decision EST 4.0% PREVIOUS 4.0%
-GMT 13:30 EU Trichet Speaks at ECB Monthly News Conference
-GMT 13:30 USA Initial Claims EST 335k PREVIOUS 352k
Definition
New unemployment claims are compiled weekly to show the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time. An increasing (decreasing) trend suggests a deteriorating (improving) labor market. The four-week moving average of new claims smoothes out weekly volatility.
-GMT 23:50 JPN GDP (q/q), (Q3 F) EST 0.6% PREVIOUS 0.6%
-GMT 23:50 JPN GDP (y/y), (Q3 ) EST 2.6% PREVIOUS 2.6%
Definition
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total value of final goods and services produced within a country's borders in a year. It is one of the measures of national income and output. It may be used as one indicator of the standard of living in a country, but there may be limitations with this view.
-GMT 23:50 JPN GDP Deflator (y/y), (Q3 F) EST PREVIOUS -0.3%
Friday, December 07, 2007
-GMT 11:00 GER Indus. Production (m/m), (Oct) EST -0.5% PREVIOUS 0.3%
-GMT 11:00 GER Indus. Production (y/y), (Oct) EST 5.9% PREVIOUS 6.0%
Definition
Industrial production consists of the total output of a nation’s plants, utilities, and mines. From a fundamental point of view, it is an important economic indicator that reflects the strength of the economy, and by extrapolation, the strength of a specific currency.
-GMT 13:30 USA Nonfarm Payroll (Nov) EST 70k PREVIOUS 166k
-GMT 13:30 USA Unemployment Rate (Nov) EST 4.8% PREVIOUS 4.7%
-GMT 13:30 USA Avg Hrly Earnings (Nov) EST 0.3% PREVIOUS 0.2%
-GMT 13:30 USA Work Week (Nov) EST 33.8hrs PREVIOUS 33.8hrs
Definition
In the US, the employment report, also known as the labor report, is regarded as the most important among all economic indicators. The report provides the first comprehensive look at the economy, covering nine economic categories. Here are the three main components of the report:
Payroll Employment: Measures the change in number of workers in a given month and measures the number of jobs in more than 500 industries (ex-¬farming) in all states and 255 metropolitan areas. The employment estimates are based on a survey of larger businesses and counts the number of paid employees working part-time or full-time in the nation's business and government establishments. This release is the most closely watched indicator because of its timeliness, accuracy and its comprehensiveness. It is important to compare this figure to a monthly moving average (6 or 9 months) to capture a true perspective of the trend in labor market strength. Equally important are the frequent revisions for the prior months, which are often significant.
Unemployment Rate: The percentage of the civilian labor force actively looking for employment but unable to find jobs. Although it is a highly proclaimed figure (due to simplicity of the number and its political implications), the unemployment rate gets relatively less importance in the markets because it is known to be a lagging indicator -- it usually falls behind economic turns.
Average Hourly Earnings Growth: The growth rate between one month’s average hourly rate and another’s sheds light on wage growth and, hence, assesses the potential of wage-push inflation. The year-on-year rate is also important in capturing the longer-term trend.
The employment data give the most comprehensive report on how many people are looking for jobs, how many have them, what they're getting paid and how many hours they are working. These numbers are the best way to gauge the current state and future direction of the economy. They also provide insight on wage trends and wage inflation. By tracking the jobs data, investors can sense the degree of tightness in the job market. If wage
inflation threatens, usually interest rates will rise, and bond and stock prices will fall. One weakness in this indicator is it is subject to significant revisions and large seasonal distortions.
-GMT 14:45 USA Michigan Sentiment (P Dec) EST 75.0 PREVIOUS 76.1
Definition
This survey measures the attitudes and expectations concerning both present and future economic conditions of 500 consumers. Just like Consumer Confidence, the level of consumer sentiment is directly related to the strength of consumer spending. It is almost identical, with two subindexes - expectations and current conditions, but has two monthly releases, a preliminary and final reading. The consumer expectations portion of the Michigan survey is a component of the leading economic indicators index. Consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of the economy, so the markets follow any indicator relating to consumer behavior and attitudes. The more confident consumers are about the economy and their own personal finances, the more likely they are to spend. It is interesting to note that changes in consumer sentiment and retail sales don't move in tandem.
While AKFOREX attempts to ensure the accuracy of these data by using sources it believes to be reliable, release dates, times, items included and content are frequently subject to change, error and ommissions. These data shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. AKFOREX shall not assume any legal liability or responsibility for any incorrect, misleading or altered information contained herein.
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AKFOREX CALENDAR 04 NOVEMBER 2007 – 09 NOVEMBER 2007
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CALENDAR 04 NOVEMBER 2007 – 09 NOVEMBER 2007
Sunday, November 04, 2007
-GMT 23:50 JPN BoJ Meeting Minutes (September)
Monday, November 05, 2007
-GMT 06:00 JPN BOJ Governor *****ui to Speak at Financial Conference
-GMT 09:30 UK Industrial Production (m/m), (Sep) EST 0.2% PREVIOUS 0.1%
-GMT 09:30 UK Industrial Production (y/y), (Sep) EST 0.4% PREVIOUS 0.7%
Definition
Industrial production consists of the total output of a nation’s plants, utilities, and mines. From a fundamental point of view, it is an important economic indicator that reflects the strength of the economy, and by extrapolation, the strength of a specific currency.
-GMT 09:30 UK Manufacturing Production (m/m), (Sep) EST 0.0% PREVIOUS 0.4%
-GMT 09:30 UK Manufacturing Production (y/y), (Sep) EST 0.6% PREVIOUS 0.6%
Definition
Manufacturing production is the indicator of production level in the manufacturing sector.
-GMT 09:30 UK Serv. PMI (Oct) EST 56.2 PREVIOUS 56.7
Definition
The Index is widely used by industrialized economies to assess business confidence. Germany, Japan and the UK use PMI surveys for both manufacturing and services industries. The numbers are arrived at through a series of questions regarding Business activity, New Business, Employment, Input Prices, Prices Charged and Business Expectations. In addition to the headline figures, the prices paid components is highly scrutinized by the markets for evaluating pricing power and inflationary risks.
-GMT 14:00 USA Fed's Mishkin Speaks at Risk Conference in New York
-GMT 15:00 USA ISM Services (Oct) EST 54.1 PREVIOUS 54.8
Definition
Also known as Non-Manufacturing ISM. This index is based on a survey of about 370 purchasing executives in industries of finance, insurance, real estate, communications, and utilities. It reports business activity in the service sector.
-GMT 17:00 USA Fed's Kroszner Speaks on Subprime Mortgages in Virginia
Tuesday, November 06, 2007
-GMT 05:00 JPN Leading indicator (Sep P) EST 0.0 PREVIOUS 27.3
-GMT 05:00 JPN Coincident indicator (Sep P) EST 66.7 PREVIOUS 85.0
Definition
An economic indicator that generally moves in line with the general business cycle such as industrial production.
-GMT 06:00 JPN BOJ Governor *****ui to Meet With Business Leaders in Kyoto
-GMT 08:55 GER Services PMI (Oct) EST 54.9 PREVIOUS 53.1
Definition
The Index is widely used by industrialized economies to assess business confidence. Germany, Japan and the UK use PMI surveys for both manufacturing and services industries. The numbers are arrived at through a series of questions regarding Business activity, New Business, Employment, Input Prices, Prices Charged and Business Expectations. In addition to the headline figures, the prices paid components is highly scrutinized by the markets for evaluating pricing power and inflationary risks.
-GMT 09:00 EU Services PMI (Oct) EST 55.6 PREVIOUS 55.6
Definition
The Index is widely used by industrialized economies to assess business confidence. Germany, Japan and the UK use PMI surveys for both manufacturing and services industries. The numbers are arrived at through a series of questions regarding Business activity, New Business, Employment, Input Prices, Prices Charged and Business Expectations. In addition to the headline figures, the prices paid components is highly scrutinized by the markets for evaluating pricing power and inflationary risks.
-GMT 10:00 EU PPI (m/m), (Sep) EST 0.4% PREVIOUS 0.1%
-GMT 10:00 EU PPI (y/y), (Sep) EST 2.6% PREVIOUS 1.7%
Definition
The PPI gauges the average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output at all stages of processing. The PPI data is compiled from most sectors of the economy, such as manufacturing, mining and agriculture.
-GMT 10:00 EU Retail sales (m/m), (Sep) EST 0.5% PREVIOUS 0.1%
-GMT 10:00 EU Retail sales (y/y), (Sep) EST 2.2% PREVIOUS 1.0%
Definition
The retail sales report is a measure of the total receipts of retail stores from samples representing all sizes and kinds of business in retail trade throughout the nation. It is the most timely indicator of broad consumer spending patterns and is adjusted for normal seasonal variation, holidays, and trading-day differences. Retail sales include durable and nondurable merchandise sold, and services and excise taxes incidental to the sale of merchandise. Excluded are sales taxes collected directly from the customer. It also excludes spending for services, a large component of consumer expenditures. Retail sales is a the first picture of consumer spending for a given month. Retail sales are often viewed ex-autos, as auto sales can move sharply from month-to-month. Also, gas and food component changes are often a result of price
changes rather than shifting consumer demand. Retail sales can be quite volatile and the advance reports are subject to large revisions.
-GMT 11:00 GER Factory orders (m/m), (Sep) EST 0.0% PREVIOUS 1.2%
-GMT 11:00 GER Factory orders (y/y), (Sep) EST 6.5% PREVIOUS 4.0%
Definition
Factory orders refer to the total of durable and nondurable good orders.
-GMT 17:30 USA Bernanke Speaks at Microfinance Conference in San Antonio
-GMT 22:30 AUS RBA Rate Decision EST 6.75% PREVIOUS 6.50%
Wednesday, November 07, 2007
-GMT 11:00 GER Industrial Production (m/m), (Sep) EST -0.4% PREVIOUS 1.7%
-GMT 11:00 GER Industrial Production (y/y), (Sep) EST 5.1% PREVIOUS 5.1%
Definition
Industrial production consists of the total output of a nation’s plants, utilities, and mines. From a fundamental point of view, it is an important economic indicator that reflects the strength of the economy, and by extrapolation, the strength of a specific currency.
-GMT 13:30 USA Productivity (P Q3) EST 3.1% PREVIOUS 2.6%
Definition
The economic measure of efficiency summarizing the value of outputs relative to the value of inputs.
-GMT 13:30 USA Unit Labor Costs (P Q3) EST 1.2% PREVIOUS 1.4%
-GMT 13:45 USA Fed’s Lacker Speaks to Credit-Portfolio managers in New York
-GMT 15:00 USA Wholesale Inventories (m/m), (Sep) EST 0.1% PREVIOUS 0.1%
-GMT 17:00 USA Fed's Warsh Speaks to Economist in New York
-GMT 18:10 USA Fed's Lockhart Speaks on U.S. Economic Outlook in Alabama
-GMT 23:50 JPN Machine orders (m/m), (Sep) EST -1.8% PREVIOUS -7.7%
-GMT 23:50 JPN Machine orders (y/y), (Sep) EST -0.9% PREVIOUS -2.6%
Definition
Machine Orders Data (also known as Machine Tool Order Data) is a figure issued by Japan Machine Tool Builders Association (JMTBA) every month. It serves as one indicator of the Japanese economy. In the forex market, the release of such data is often followed by sharp change in currency exchange rate.
-GMT 23:50 JPN M2+CDs (m/m), (Oct) EST 0.1% PREVIOUS 0.2%
-GMT 23:50 JPN M2+CDs (y/y), (Oct) EST 1.7% PREVIOUS 1.7%
Definition
Money Supply
M1 + Quasi-Money (Time Deposits etc.) + CDs
[ Financial institutions surveyed for Deposit Money, Quasi-Money, and CDs ]
Domestically Licensed Banks (including Foreign Trust Banks), Foreign Banks in Japan, Shinkin Central Bank, Shinkin Banks, Norinchukin Bank and Shoko Chukin Bank
-GMT 23:50 JPN Broad liquidity (m/m), (Oct) EST 0.2% PREVIOUS 0.4%
-GMT 23:50 JPN Broad liquidity (y/y), (Oct) EST 4.0% PREVIOUS 4.1%
-GMT 23:50 JPN Bank lending (m/m), (Oct) EST -0.2% PREVIOUS 0.3%
-GMT 23:50 JPN Bank lending (y/y), (Oct) EST 0.7% PREVIOUS 0.6%
Thursday, November 08, 2007
-GMT 07:00 GER Trade balance (Sep) EST 16.2B PREVIOUS 14.1B
Definition
Balance of trade figures are the sum of the money gained by a given economy by selling exports, minus the cost of buying imports. They form part of the balance of payments, which also includes other transactions such as international investment. The figures are usually split into visible and invisible balance figures. The visible balance represents the physical goods, and invisible represents other forms of trade, e.g. the service economy.
A positive balance of trade is known as a trade surplus and consists of exporting more (in financial capital terms) than one imports. A negative balance of trade is known as a trade deficit and consists of importing more than one exports. Neither is necessarily dangerous in modern economies, although large trade surpluses or trade deficits may sometimes be a sign of other economic problems.
If the balance of trade is positive, then the economy has received more money than it has spent. This may appear to be a good thing but may not always be so.
-GMT 12:00 UK BOE Rate Decision EST 5.75% PREVIOUS 5.75%
-GMT 12:45 EU ECB Rate Decision EST 4.00% PREVIOUS 4.00%
-GMT 13:30 EU Trichet Speaks at ECB Monthly News Conf.
-GMT 13:30 USA Initial Claims EST 330k PREVIOUS 327K
Definition
New unemployment claims are compiled weekly to show the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time. An increasing (decreasing) trend suggests a deteriorating (improving) labor market. The four-week moving average of new claims smoothes out weekly volatility.
Friday, November 09, 2007
-GMT 04:30 JPN Industrial production (m/m), (Sep) EST -1.4% PREVIOUS -1.4%
-GMT 04:30 JPN Industrial production (y/y), (Sep) EST % PREVIOUS 0.8%
Definition
Industrial production consists of the total output of a nation’s plants, utilities, and mines. From a fundamental point of view, it is an important economic indicator that reflects the strength of the economy, and by extrapolation, the strength of a specific currency.
-GMT 04:30 JPN Capacity Utilization (Sep) EST PREVIOUS 109.7
Definition
Capacity utilization consists of total industrial output divided by total production capability. The term refers to the maximum level of output a plant can generate under normal business conditions. A normal “figure” for a steady economy is 81.5 percent. If the figure reads 85 percent or more, the data suggests that the industrial production is overheating, that the economy is close to full capacity. High capacity utilization rates precede inflation, and expectation in the foreign exchange market is that the central bank will raise interest rates in order to avoid or fight inflation.
-GMT 09:30 UK Visible Trade balance (Sep) EST -6900M PREVIOUS -6853M
-GMT 09:30 UK Trade non-EU (Sep) EST -3900M PREVIOUS -3902M
-GMT 09:30 UK Total Trade Balance (Sep) EST -4100M PREVIOUS -4107M
Definition
Balance of trade figures are the sum of the money gained by a given economy by selling exports, minus the cost of buying imports. They form part of the balance of payments, which also includes other transactions such as international investment. The figures are usually split into visible and invisible balance figures. The visible balance represents the physical goods, and invisible represents other forms of trade, e.g. the service economy.
A positive balance of trade is known as a trade surplus and consists of exporting more (in financial capital terms) than one imports. A negative balance of trade is known as a trade deficit and consists of importing more than one exports. Neither is necessarily dangerous in modern economies, although large trade surpluses or trade deficits may sometimes be a sign of other economic problems.
If the balance of trade is positive, then the economy has received more money than it has spent. This may appear to be a good thing but may not always be so.
-GMT 13:30 USA Import Prices (m/m), (Oct) EST 1.1% PREVIOUS 1.0%
-GMT 13:30 USA Import Prices (y/y), (Oct) EST PREVIOUS 5.2%
Definition
The Import Price Index measures prices American consumers pay for imports. Export Price Index measures prices American producers charge for exports. Every month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics collects net transaction prices for more than 20,000 products from over 6,000 companies and secondary sources. These prices are then weighted according to the relative importance and are not seasonally adjusted. Changes in import and export prices gauge inflation here and abroad. Inflation leads to higher interest rates.
-GMT 13:30 USA International Trade (Sep) EST -58.5$B PREVIOUS -57.6$B
Definition
Balance of trade figures are the sum of the money gained by a given economy by selling exports, minus the cost of buying imports. They form part of the balance of payments, which also includes other transactions such as international investment. The figures are usually split into visible and invisible balance figures. The visible
balance represents the physical goods, and invisible represents other forms of trade, e.g. the service economy.
A positive balance of trade is known as a trade surplus and consists of exporting more (in financial capital terms) than one imports. A negative balance of trade is known as a trade deficit and consists of importing more than one exports. Neither is necessarily dangerous in modern economies, although large trade surpluses or trade deficits may sometimes be a sign of other economic problems.
If the balance of trade is positive, then the economy has received more money than it has spent. This may appear to be a good thing but may not always be so.
-GMT 15:00 USA U. of Michigan Confidence (P Nov) EST 80.0 PREVIOUS 80.9
Definition
This survey measures the attitudes and expectations concerning both present and future economic conditions of 500 consumers. Just like Consumer Confidence, the
level of consumer sentiment is directly related to the strength of consumer spending. It is almost identical, with two subindexes - expectations and current conditions, but
has two monthly releases, a preliminary and final reading. The consumer expectations portion of the Michigan survey is a component of the leading economic indicators
index. Consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of the economy, so the markets follow any indicator relating to consumer behavior and attitudes. The more confident consumers are about the economy and their own personal finances, the more likely they are to spend. It is interesting to note that changes in consumer sentiment and retail sales don't move in tandem.
While AKFOREX attempts to ensure the accuracy of these data by using sources it believes to be reliable, release dates, times, items included and content are frequently subject to change, error and ommissions. These data shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. AKFOREX shall not assume any legal liability or responsibility for any incorrect, misleading or altered information contained herein.
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AKFOREX CALENDAR 28 OCTOBER 2007 - 02 NOVEMBER 2007
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CALENDAR 28 OCTOBER 2007 – 02 NOVEMBER 2007
Sunday, October 28, 2007
-GMT 23:50 JPN Retail Sales seasonally adjusted (m/m), (Sep) EST -2.0% PREVIOUS 3.9%
-GMT 23:50 JPN Retail Sales (y/y), (Sep) EST -0.5% PREVIOUS 0.5%
Definition
The retail sales report is a measure of the total receipts of retail stores from samples representing all sizes and kinds of business in retail trade throughout the nation. It is the most timely indicator of broad consumer spending patterns and is adjusted for normal seasonal variation, holidays, and trading-day differences. Retail sales include durable and nondurable merchandise sold, and services and excise taxes incidental to the sale of merchandise. Excluded are sales taxes collected directly from the customer. It also excludes spending for services, a large component of consumer expenditures. Retail sales is a the first picture of consumer spending for a given month. Retail sales are often viewed ex-autos, as auto sales can move sharply from month-to-month. Also, gas and food component changes are often a result of price changes rather than shifting consumer demand. Retail sales can be quite volatile and the advance reports are subject to large revisions.
Monday, October 29, 2007
-GMT 23:30 JPN Household spend (m/m), (Sep) EST -1.4% PREVIOUS -0.4%
-GMT 23:30 JPN Household spend (y/y), (Sep) EST 1.0% PREVIOUS 1.6%
-GMT 23:30 JPN Unemployment (Sep) EST 3.8% PREVIOUS 3.8%
Definition
The percentage of the people classified as unemployed as compared to the total labor force.
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
-GMT 08:55 GER Unemployment Change (Oct) EST -25K PREVIOUS -50K
-GMT 08:55 GER Unemployment Rate s.a. (Oct) EST % PREVIOUS 8.8%
Definition
The percentage of the people classified as unemployed as compared to the total labor force.
-GMT 14:00 USA Consumer Confidence (Oct) EST 100.0 PREVIOUS 99.8
Definition
The Consumer Confidence index attempts to gauge consumers' feelings about the current condition of the economy and their expectations about the economy's future direction.
Wednesday, October 31, 2007
-Japan – Monetary Policy Meeting
-Japan- BoJ Rate Decision EST 0.5% PREVIOUS 0.5%
-GMT 05:00 JPN Housing starts (y/y), (Sep) EST % PREVIOUS -43.3%
-GMT 05:00 JPN Annualized Housing Starts (Sep) EST k PREVIOUS 729k
-GMT 05:00 JPN Construction orders (y/y), (Sep) EST -11.8% PREVIOUS -14.2%
-GMT 10:00 EU Consumer Confidence (Oct) EST PREVIOUS -5.0
Definition
The Consumer Confidence index attempts to gauge consumers' feelings about the current condition of the economy and their expectations about the economy's future direction.
-GMT 10:00 EU Industrial Confidence (Oct) EST PREVIOUS 3.0
-GMT 10:00 EU HICP Estimate (y/y), (Oct) EST 2.3% PREVIOUS 2.1%
Definition
The consumer price index (CPI) gauges the average change in retail prices for a fixed market basket of goods and services. The CPI data is compiled from a sample of prices for food, shelter, clothing, fuel, transportation and medical services that people purchase on daily basis.
-GMT 10:00 EU Unemployment (Sep) EST 6.9% PREVIOUS 6.9%
Definition
The percentage of the people classified as unemployed as compared to the total labor force.
-GMT 10:30 UK GFK Survey (Oct) EST PREVIOUS -7.0
Definition
This index is based on the following question to consumers: ‘How do you think the general economic situation will develop in the next 12 months?’ (improve – stagnate – deteriorate). About 2000 interviews are conducted each month.
-GMT 12:30 USA Employment Cost (q/q), (Q3) EST 0.9% PREVIOUS 0.9%
Definition
The Employment Cost Index measures wages and inflation and provides the most comprehensive analysis of worker compensation,including wages, salaries and fringe benefits. The ECI is one of the Fed’s favorite quarterly economic statistics
-GMT 12:30 USA GDP Annualized (q/q), (3Q) EST 3.1% PREVIOUS 3.8%
-GMT 12:30 USA GDP Price Index (y/y), (3Q) EST 2.2% PREVIOUS 2.6%
Definition
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total value of final goods and services produced within a country's borders in a year. It is one of the measures of national income and output. It may be used as one indicator of the standard of living in a country, but there may be limitations with this view.
-GMT 13:45 USA Chicago PMI (Oct) EST 53.5 PREVIOUS 54.2
Definition
The Chicago PMI (officially known as the Business Barometer) is a monthly composite index based on opinion surveys of more than 200 Chicago purchasing managers regarding the manufacturing industry. The survey responses are limited to three options: slower, faster and same. As such, the index will not capture if a component is growing but at a much slower rate or vice versa. The index is a composite of seven similarly constructed indexes including: new orders, production, supplier delivery times, backlogs, inventories, prices paid, and employment. New orders and orders backlog indices indicate future production activity. It signals factory-sector expansion when it is above 50 and contraction when below it. The index is seasonally adjusted for the effects of variations within the year, differences due to holidays and institutional changes. Because it is an opinion survey, it is often influenced by respondents’ perception of current events, as opposed to actual hard data. Also, it does not capture technological and production changes, which make it possible for production to expand, while employment contracts. Because the Chicago PMI is released the day before the ISM, it is watched in order to predict the more important ISM report, which is in itself a good leading indicator of overall economic activity. It frequently moves markets
-GMT 15:00 USA Construction Sp (m/m), (Sep) EST -0.3% PREVIOUS 0.2%
Definition
Measures the total amount of spending in the U.S. on all types of construction. The residential construction component is useful for predicting future national new homes sales and mortgage origination volume.
-GMT 18:15 USA FOMC Rate Decision EST 4.50% PREVIOUS 4.75%
Definition
The Federal Open Market Committee is a twelve-member committee made up of the seven members of the Board of Governors and five Federal Reserve Bank presidents. It meets eight times per year to determine the near-term direction of monetary policy, such as setting guidelines for the purchase and sale of government securities and setting policy relating to System operations in the foreign exchange markets. These changes in monetary policy are now announced immediately after FOMC meetings. Most importantly, the Fed determines interest rate policy at FOMC meetings. Market participants speculate about the possibility of an interest rate change at these meetings, and if the outcome is different from expectations, the impact on the markets
can be dramatic and far-reaching. The interest rate set by the Fed the federal funds rate serves as a benchmark for all other rates. A change in the fed funds rate, the lending rate banks charge each other for the use of overnight funds, translates directly through to all other interest rates from Treasury bonds to mortgage loans. It also changes the dynamics of competition for investor dollars: when bonds yield 10 percent, they will attract more money away from stocks then when they only yield 5 percent. The level of interest rates affects the economy higher rates tend to slow activity; lower rates stimulate activity, a ripple effect that expands into all sectors of the economy.
Thursday, November 01, 2007
- GMT 08:55 GER Manuf. PMI (Oct) EST PREVIOUS 54.9
Definition
The Index is widely used by industrialized economies to assess business confidence. Germany, Japan and the UK use PMI surveys for both manufacturing and services industries. The numbers are arrived at through a series of questions regarding Business activity, New Business, Employment, Input Prices, Prices Charged and Business Expectations. In addition to the headline figures, the prices paid components is highly scrutinized by the markets for evaluating pricing power and inflationary risks.
- GMT 09:30 UK Manuf. PMI (Oct) EST PREVIOUS 55.1
Definition
The Index is widely used by industrialized economies to assess business confidence. Germany, Japan and the UK use PMI surveys for both manufacturing and services industries. The numbers are arrived at through a series of questions regarding Business activity, New Business, Employment, Input Prices, Prices Charged and Business Expectations. In addition to the headline figures, the prices paid components is highly scrutinized by the markets for evaluating pricing power and inflationary risks.
- GMT 12:30 USA Initial Claims EST k PREVIOUS K
Definition
New unemployment claims are compiled weekly to show the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time. An increasing (decreasing) trend suggests a deteriorating (improving) labor market. The four-week moving average of new claims smoothes out weekly volatility.
-GMT 12:30 USA Personal Income (m/m), (Sep) EST 0.4% PREVIOUS 0.3%
Definition
Personal income is simply the income received by individuals, nonprofit institutions, and private trust funds.
This indicator is vital for the sales sector. Without an adequate personal income and a propensity to purchase, consumer purchases of durable and nondurable goods are limited.
-GMT 12:30 USA Personal Spending (m/m), (Sep) EST 0.0% PREVIOUS 0.6%
Definition
Personal Spending, also known as PCE, represents the change in the market value of all goods and services purchased by individuals. It is the largest component of GDP.
-GMT 12:30 USA PCE Deflator (y/y),(Sep) EST % PREVIOUS 1.8%
-GMT 12:30 USA Core PCE Deflator (m/m),(Sep) EST % PREVIOUS 0.1%
-GMT 12:30 USA Core PCE Deflator (y/y), (Sep) EST 1.9% PREVIOUS 1.8%
-GMT 14:00 USA ISM Index (Oct) EST PREVIOUS 59
Definition
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Index is a composite diffusion index of national manufacturing conditions. Readings above 50 percent indicate an expanding factory sector. The index is calculated from five of the eight sub-components of a monthly survey of purchasing managers at roughly 400 manufacturing firms representing 20 industries and all 50 states. The survey queries purchasing managers about the general direction of production, orders, inventories, employment, vendor deliveries and prices.
-GMT 14:00 USA ISM Manufacturing (OCT) EST 52 PREVIOUS 52
Definition
A national manufacturing index based on a survey of purchasing executives at roughly 300 industrial companies. Signals expansion when the PMI is above 50 and contraction when below.
Friday, November 02, 2007
-GMT 09:00 EU Manuf. PMI (Oct) EST PREVIOUS 53.2
Definition
The Index is widely used by industrialized economies to assess business confidence. Germany, Japan and the UK use PMI surveys for both manufacturing and services industries. The numbers are arrived at through a series of questions regarding Business activity, New Business, Employment, Input Prices, Prices Charged and Business Expectations. In addition to the headline figures, the prices paid components is highly scrutinized by the markets for evaluating pricing power and inflationary risks.
-GMT 12:30 USA Nonfarm Payroll (Oct) EST 90k PREVIOUS 110k
-GMT 12:30 USA Unemployment Rate (Oct) EST 4.7% PREVIOUS 4.7%
-GMT 12:30 USA Avg Hrly Earnings (Oct) EST 0.2% PREVIOUS 0.4%
-GMT 12:30 USA Work Week (Oct) EST 33.8hrs PREVIOUS 33.8hrs
Definition
In the US, the employment report, also known as the labor report, is regarded as the most important among all economic indicators. The report provides the first comprehensive look at the economy, covering nine economic categories. Here are the three main components of the report:
Payroll Employment: Measures the change in number of workers in a given month and measures the number of jobs in more than 500 industries (ex-¬farming) in all states and 255 metropolitan areas. The employment estimates are based on a survey of larger businesses and counts the number of paid employees working part-time or full-time in the nation's business and government establishments. This release is the most closely watched indicator because of its timeliness, accuracy and its comprehensiveness. It is important to compare this figure to a monthly moving average (6 or 9 months) to capture a true perspective of the trend in labor market strength. Equally important are the frequent revisions for the prior months, which are often significant.
Unemployment Rate: The percentage of the civilian labor force actively looking for employment but unable to find jobs. Although it is a highly proclaimed figure (due to simplicity of the number and its political implications), the unemployment rate gets relatively less importance in the markets because it is known to be a lagging indicator -- it usually falls behind economic turns.
Average Hourly Earnings Growth: The growth rate between one month’s average hourly rate and another’s sheds light on wage growth and, hence, assesses the potential of wage-push inflation. The year-on-year rate is also important in capturing the longer-term trend.
The employment data give the most comprehensive report on how many people are looking for jobs, how many have them, what they're getting paid and how many hours they are working. These numbers are the best way to gauge the current state and future direction of the economy. They also provide insight on wage trends and wage inflation. By tracking the jobs data, investors can sense the degree of tightness in the job market. If wage inflation threatens, usually interest rates will rise, and bond and stock prices will fall. One weakness in this indicator is it is subject to significant revisions and large seasonal distortions.
-GMT 14:00 USA Factory Orders (m/m), (Sep) EST 1.3% PREVIOUS -3.3%
Definition
Factory orders refer to the total of durable and nondurable good orders
While AKFOREX attempts to ensure the accuracy of these data by using sources it believes to be reliable, release dates, times, items included and content are frequently subject to change, error and ommissions. These data shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. AKFOREX shall not assume any legal liability or responsibility for any incorrect, misleading or altered information contained herein.
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AKFOREX CALENDAR 22 OCTOBER 2007 - 26 OCTOBER 2007
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CALENDAR 22 OCTOBER 2007 – 26 OCTOBER 2007
Monday, October 22, 2007
-GMT 11:30 USA Fed's Kroszner Speaks to Bankers in Washington
-GMT 18:45 EU ECB's Trichet Speaks in New York
Tuesday, October 23, 2007
-GMT 09:00 EU Industrial orders (m/m), (Aug) EST 0.9% PREVIOUS -4.0%
-GMT 09:00 EU Industrial orders (y/y), (Aug) EST 6.0% PREVIOUS 10.9%
-GMT 23:50 JPN Trade balance (Yen), (Sep) EST 1470.0B PREVIOUS 743.2B
-GMT 23:50 JPN Adjusted Trade Balance (Yen), (Sep) EST 916.3B PREVIOUS 1144.9B
Definition
Balance of trade figures are the sum of the money gained by a given economy by selling exports, minus the cost of buying imports. They form part of the balance of payments, which also includes other transactions such as international investment. The figures are usually split into visible and invisible balance figures. The visible balance represents the physical goods, and invisible represents other forms of trade, e.g. the service economy.
A positive balance of trade is known as a trade surplus and consists of exporting more (in financial capital terms) than one imports. A negative balance of trade is known as a trade deficit and consists of importing more than one exports. Neither is necessarily dangerous in modern economies, although large trade surpluses or trade deficits may sometimes be a sign of other economic problems.
If the balance of trade is positive, then the economy has received more money than it has spent. This may appear to be a good thing but may not always be so.
Wednesday, October 24, 2007
-GMT 07:00 EU ECB's Gonzalez-Paramo, Spain's Vegara Speak at Conference
-GMT 08:00 EU Current account (Aug) EST 2.0B PREVIOUS 1.7B
Definition
Balance of trade plus NET investment income & transfers. The difference between what the country earns and spends overseas. The ‘current account’ more specifically deals with the daily recurring transactions in the ordinary course of business. It involves international receipts & payments including trading receipts & payments, service receipts & payments and unilateral transfers such as payment of royalties, repatriation of after-tax profits & dividends, remittance of after-tax wages & other income by foreign employees and any payment of interest on foreign debts.
-GMT 14:00 USA Existing Homes (Sep) EST 5.25M PREVIOUS 5.50M
-GMT 14:00 USA Existing Homes (m/m),(Sep) EST -4.5% PREVIOUS -4.3%
Definition
Existing Home Sales is a measure of the selling rate of pre-owned single-family homes, collected by the National Association of Realtors from 650 realtor associations.
-GMT 20:00 NZD RBNZ Rate Decision EST 8.25% PREVIOUS 8.25%
-GMT 23:50 JPN Corporate Service Price (y/y) (Sep) EST 1.0% PREVIOUS 1.0%
Thursday, October 25, 2007
-GMT 08:00 GER IFO Business Climate (Oct) EST 103.8 PREVIOUS 104.2
-GMT 08:00 GER IFO Current Assessment (Oct) EST 109.4 PREVIOUS 109.9
-GMT 08:00 GER IFO Expectations (Oct) EST 98.3 PREVIOUS 98.7
Definition
The Ifo Business Climate Index is based on ca. 7,000 monthly survey responses of firms in manufacturing, construction, wholesaling and retailing. The firms are asked to give their assessments of the current business situation and their expectations for the next six months. They can characterise their situation as “good”, “satisfactorily” or “poor” and their business expectations for the next six months as “more favourable”, “unchanged” or “more unfavourable”. The balance value of the current business situation is the difference of the percentages of the responses “good” and “poor”, the balance value of the expectations is the difference of the percentages of the responses “more favourable” and “more unfavourable”. The business climate is a transformed mean of the balances of the business situation and the expectations. For calculating the index values the transformed balances are all normalized to the average of the year 2000.
-GMT 12:30 USA Durable Goods (m/m), (Sep) EST 1.5% PREVIOUS -4.9%
-GMT 12:30 USA ex Transportati (m/m), (Sep) EST 0.7% PREVIOUS -1.8%
Definition
Durable goods orders consist of products with a life span of more than three years. Examples of durable goods are autos,appliances, furniture, jewelry and toys.
This data is fairly important to foreign exchange markets because it gives a good indication of consumer confidence. Because durable goods cost more than
nondurables, a high number in this indicator shows consumer’s propensity to spend. Therefore , a good figure is generally bullish for the domestic currency.
-GMT 12:30 USA Initial Claims EST 320k PREVIOUS 337k
Definition
New unemployment claims are compiled weekly to show the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time. An increasing (decreasing) trend suggests a deteriorating (improving) labor market. The four-week moving average of new claims smoothes out weekly volatility.
-GMT 13:00 USA Fed's Consumer Advisory Council to Discuss Mortgage Rules
-GMT 14:00 USA New Home Sales (Sep) EST 775k PREVIOUS 795k
-GMT 14:00 USA New Home Sales (m/m),(Sep) EST -2.5% PREVIOUS -8.3%
Definition
The New Home Sales report shows the number of newly constructed homes with a committed sale during the month. The level of new home sales indicates housing market trends, and economic momentum signaling consumer purchases of furniture and appliances. Simply, the volume of sales indicates housing demand. Also, the monthly supply of homes serves as an input into the level of housing pressure.
However, when analyzing sales trends, one must remember to take into account unusual weather and seasonal effects.
-GMT 23:30 JPN CPI--Tokyo (m/m), (Oct) EST -0.1% PREVIOUS 0.1%
-GMT 23:30 JPN CPI--Tokyo (y/y), (Oct) EST 0% PREVIOUS -0.2%
Definition
The CPI-TOKYO measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers living in Tokyo.
-GMT 23:30 JPN CPI--Tokyo core (m/m), (Oct) EST 0.0% PREVIOUS 0.0%
-GMT 23:30 JPN CPI--Tokyo core (y/y), (Oct) EST -0.3% PREVIOUS -0.3%
Definition
This indicator is a derivative of CPI-TOKYO that excludes the volatile fresh food components of the index.
-GMT 23:30 JPN CPI--Japan (m/m), (Sep) EST 0.1% PREVIOUS 0.5%
-GMT 23:30 JPN CPI--Japan (y/y), (Sep) EST -0.1% PREVIOUS -0.2%
Definition
The consumer price index (CPI) gauges the average change in retail prices for a fixed market basket of goods and services. The CPI data is compiled from a sample of prices for food, shelter, clothing, fuel, transportation and medical services that people purchase on daily basis.
-GMT 23:30 JPN CPI--Japan core (m/m), (Sep) EST 0.0% PREVIOUS 0.2%
-GMT 23:30 JPN CPI--Japan core (y/y), (Sep) EST -0.2% PREVIOUS -0.1%
Definition
This indicator is a derivative of CPI-JAPAN that excludes the volatile fresh food components of the index.
-GMT 23:50 JPN Industrial outp (m/m), (Sep) EST -1.3% PREVIOUS 3.5%
-GMT 23:50 JPN Industrial outp (y/y), (Sep) EST 1.1% PREVIOUS 4.4%
Definition
Industrial production consists of the total output of a nation¡¦s plants, utilities, and mines. From a fundamental point of view, it is an important economic indicator that reflects the strength of the economy, and by extrapolation, the strength of a specific currency.
Friday, October 26, 2007
-GMT 06:00 GER GFK Index (Nov) EST 6.5 PREVIOUS 6.8
Definition
This index is based on the following question to consumers: ‘How do you think the general economic situation will develop in the next 12 months?’ (improve – stagnate – deteriorate). About 2000 interviews are conducted each month.
-GMT 08:00 EU M3 (y/y), (Sep) EST % PREVIOUS 11.4%
-GMT 08:00 EU M3 3-month (y/y), (Sep) EST % PREVIOUS 11.6%
Definition
A category of the money supply that includes M2 in addition to all large time deposits, institutional money-market funds, short-term repurchase agreements and certain other large liquid assets.
-GMT 13:45 USA Michigan Sentiment (F Oct) EST 82.5 PREVIOUS 82.0
Definition
This survey measures the attitudes and expectations concerning both present and future economic conditions of 500 consumers. Just like Consumer Confidence, the
level of consumer sentiment is directly related to the strength of consumer spending. It is almost identical, with two subindexes - expectations and current conditions, but
has two monthly releases, a preliminary and final reading. The consumer expectations portion of the Michigan survey is a component of the leading economic indicators
index. Consumer spending accounts for two-thirds of the economy, so the markets follow any indicator relating to consumer behavior and attitudes. The more confident consumers are about the economy and their own personal finances, the more likely they are to spend. It is interesting to note that changes in consumer sentiment and retail sales don't move in tandem.
While AKFOREX attempts to ensure the accuracy of these data by using sources it believes to be reliable, release dates, times, items included and content are frequently subject to change, error and ommissions. These data shall not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security. AKFOREX shall not assume any legal liability or responsibility for any incorrect, misleading or altered information contained herein.
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